Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.4% | 54.6% | +1.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -13 (58-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Gay * | 36 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. Boone * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| M. Williams * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| M. Mulchrone * | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| C. Austrie * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Adrien | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| R. Anderson | 22 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| D. Brown | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Nelson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Laudermill * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| D. Padgett * | 37 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 18 | - |
| A. McGee * | 35 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Williams * | 31 | 4-14 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Palacios * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Harvey | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| C. Millard | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Gianiny | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Johnson | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| P. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Farley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter