Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.8 | ✗ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -11 (47-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Augustine * | 40 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Brown * | 40 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| R. McBride * | 29 | 4-12 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | - |
| B. Randle * | 22 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| W. Carter | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| J. Smith | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Frazier | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Vukusic * | 38 | 1-14 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -3 | - |
| S. Williams * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| C. Moore * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Carson * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Hachad | 31 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| T. Doyle | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Jenkins | 24 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Cote | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter