Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.6% | 44.4% | -1.2 | ✗ (28.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +27 (88-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Plaisted | 28 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| B. Reichner | 27 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| K. Young | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 12 | - |
| L. Cummard | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Ainge | 21 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| R. Broadus | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| J. Balderson | 14 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Dawes | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| F. Malaman | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Rose | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. LeSure | 35 | 8-15 | 3-9 | 7-7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 20 | - |
| R. Williams | 34 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Slaughter | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 27 | - |
| M. Abukar | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J. Sharper | 28 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| K. Spain | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Hudson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Camara | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. McGrath | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Hoerner | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Lamb | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter