Model Predictions
| Model | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.4% | 62.6% | +2.8 | ✗ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars -1 (73-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Rogers | 36 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Lee | 36 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| E. Wilborn | 33 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Winchester | 33 | 6-17 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 8 | - |
| B. Callier | 20 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Emerson | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| M. Walker | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Jointer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| O. Mendez-Valdez | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Siakam | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Campbell | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jointer | 30 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Phillips | 27 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Christie | 25 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| C. Smith | 23 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| J. McGriff | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| R. Law | 20 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D. Bennett | 20 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| S. Cowherd | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Collins | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Buboltz | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter