Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.9% | 51.1% | +0.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -16 (52-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Modica | 36 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | - |
| J. Payne | 35 | 6-15 | 3-5 | 11-14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 15 | - |
| D. Jefferson | 29 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | - |
| E. Ferguson | 27 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| D. Townes | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. Thomas | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| S. Hill | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. McCurdy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| V. Hunter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Robertson | 39 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | - |
| R. LeMelle | 38 | 7-19 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 | - |
| R. Barrett | 29 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 4-7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| D. Hayles | 22 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Barber | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Cameron | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | - |
| F. Tolbert | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -4 | - |
| J. Dollard | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Jackson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter