Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.3% | 33.7% | -3.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +3 (83-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Criswell | 35 | 8-13 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 11 | - |
| A. Strait | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Hasquet | 34 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| M. Dlouhy | 31 | 4-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| V. Matthews | 27 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Ellis | 19 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| M. Martin | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Sharp | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Chavez | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilson | 34 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K. Golob | 34 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - |
| R. Boykin Jr. | 34 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| S. Sir | 31 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T. Bazy | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Landry | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| W. Hensley | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Seckold | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter