Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +10 (70-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Marentez | 38 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 11-12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 10 | - |
| V. Oliver | 36 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 30 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -5 | - |
| P. Rasmussen | 25 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Boone | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Lopez-Low | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Carter | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Ford | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Efevberha | 31 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 8-9 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| J. Heard | 28 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| B. Altheimer | 27 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| A. Washington | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Shewmake | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| D. Smith | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Haynes | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Hill | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Powers | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter