Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | +0.8 | ✗ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles -2 (49-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.