Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | +0.8 | ✗ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles -2 (49-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Robert Merritt | 40 | 7-14 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| J. Smith | 38 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| R. Gulina | 32 | 8-17 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| T. Peterson | 32 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| C. West | 28 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Merritt | 23 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Nurkic | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ballard | 40 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Q. McDowell | 37 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| S. Williams | 35 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Q. Pryor | 35 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 24 | - |
| C. Burns | 32 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| R. Allen | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Rogers | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Cockerham | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter