Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Pioneers | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (26.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +31 (70-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Carpenter | 35 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Wetrich | 30 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Kummer | 26 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Y. Nicholson | 25 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| S. Bernard | 25 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Walker | 20 | 2-12 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| A. Porch | 18 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| A. Cox | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Gordon | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ardison | 37 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| D. Tipler | 36 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 15 | - |
| J. Jones | 34 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| I. Wells | 34 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Y. Banks | 29 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| L. Hampton | 21 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Witherspoon | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter