Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Pioneers | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (26.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +31 (70-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.