Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.8% | 40.2% | -2.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -4 (55-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Clark | 40 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Alexander | 30 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| A. Paez | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| K. Hardaway | 29 | 3-12 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| M. Kingsley | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Miller | 20 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Dykes | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Hastings | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Weaver | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| G. Fonzie | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rockett | 36 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 18 | - |
| C. Dotson | 33 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| B. Bush | 25 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| L. Burroughs | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Cook | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Johnson | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Blanchard | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Moseley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Rogers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter