Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.8% | 50.2% | +0.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +4 (72-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Noel * | 34 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 4 | - |
| T. Hansbrough * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| B. Frasor * | 28 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| R. Terry * | 24 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| M. Ginyard * | 19 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| W. Miller | 23 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Green | 16 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Sanders | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Singletary * | 37 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 9-12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| J. Cain * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| A. Joseph * | 25 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| T. Soroye * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| L. Mikalauskas | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Diane | 12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Bannister | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Campbell | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter