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2006-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 54.8% 45.2% -
Bradley-Terry 34.9% 65.1% -
Margin 28.9% 71.1% +4.9 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 28.2% 71.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.7% 75.3% -
Log Adjusted 24.6% 75.4% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +11 (68-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Creason 32 5-10 0-0 3-3 5 0 0 1 2 13 7 -
M. Harrison 30 2-3 0-0 1-4 8 1 0 2 3 5 10 -
M. Morris 28 1-7 0-2 2-2 8 2 1 0 1 4 7 -
C. Harris 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 2 3 -
S. Morris 18 1-8 1-7 2-4 3 2 0 0 3 5 -1 -
A. Patterson 18 4-7 2-5 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 12 6 -
J. Smith 18 3-9 0-0 6-7 5 2 0 0 4 12 6 -
F. Robinson 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
C. Lewis 13 2-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 0 -
S. Gilling 9 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
R. Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Adams 34 7-12 3-6 3-5 4 1 8 0 3 20 18 -
D. Villepigue 33 2-5 0-0 0-0 8 3 2 0 1 4 11 -
J. Petrimoulx 32 1-5 0-3 2-4 0 7 2 0 1 4 7 -
L. Amundson 29 9-17 0-0 3-4 12 0 0 2 0 21 18 -
C. Terry 25 1-6 1-5 3-3 1 3 2 0 2 6 4 -
M. Umeh 16 3-6 2-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 8 4 -
G. Essengue 12 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 0 3 7 -
R. Morgan 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
W. White 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Darger 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter