Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.9% | 71.1% | +4.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +11 (68-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Creason | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| M. Harrison | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| M. Morris | 28 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Harris | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Morris | 18 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| A. Patterson | 18 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| J. Smith | 18 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| F. Robinson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Lewis | 13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| S. Gilling | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| R. Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Adams | 34 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 18 | - |
| D. Villepigue | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| J. Petrimoulx | 32 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| L. Amundson | 29 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| C. Terry | 25 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Umeh | 16 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| G. Essengue | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| R. Morgan | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| W. White | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Darger | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter