Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | +4.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -14 (57-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell | 40 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| G. Temple | 38 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 7 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 35 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Thomas | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| G. Davis | 29 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| D. Lazare | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Voogd | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| M. Rolle | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gordon | 37 | 6-16 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 11 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 35 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J. Edmondson | 29 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| R. Delk | 26 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Slater | 18 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -3 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| W. Morgan | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Delk | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| V. Goodridge | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter