Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | +2.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Payne * | 40 | 8-20 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | - |
| D. Jefferson * | 37 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - |
| S. Hill * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| D. Townes * | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| J. Modica * | 20 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| E. Ferguson | 30 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| C. Thomas | 25 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| S. McCurdy | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. McGowan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. Hunter | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Davidson * | 44 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| R. Steele * | 43 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| R. Hendrix * | 36 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| B. Hollinger * | 30 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Brock * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| A. Gee | 29 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Felix | 23 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
* = starter