Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.0% | 29.0% | -4.9 | ✗ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +10 (87-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Fazekas | 35 | 6-17 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| K. Shiloh | 34 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| M. Charlo | 34 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| R. Sessions | 28 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Kemp | 27 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| D. Johnson | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| L. Burleson | 8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Bell | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Coleman | 37 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| H. Hernandez | 35 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Q. Hosley | 35 | 10-14 | 5-8 | 10-11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 32 | - |
| D. Morris | 30 | 6-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 11 | - |
| K. Bell | 28 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Riding | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| R. Cesar | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Jackson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Tchana | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter