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2006-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 55.5% 44.5% -
Bradley-Terry 55.6% 44.4% -
Margin 62.2% 37.8% -2.7 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 10.6% 89.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.1% 85.9% -
Log Adjusted 13.9% 86.1% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +9 (88-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lofton * 33 5-13 4-11 2-2 7 1 3 0 2 16 12 -
D. Bradshaw * 31 9-13 1-2 2-4 10 4 5 0 3 21 24 -
M. Wingate * 30 5-12 0-0 1-2 6 3 1 0 2 11 7 -
S. Asumnu * 27 5-16 0-0 1-2 5 3 1 0 1 11 3 -
C.J. Watson 29 2-10 2-6 8-11 1 2 2 1 2 14 8 -
J. Smith 18 0-7 0-4 0-0 2 0 1 1 3 0 -6 -
A. Patterson 13 1-4 0-0 4-5 7 2 0 0 0 6 11 -
J. Howell 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
R. Childress 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
E. DeBro 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dorsey * 31 4-4 0-0 0-1 11 1 4 4 3 8 21 -
R. Carney * 30 8-17 6-12 0-2 7 1 0 0 1 22 12 -
D. Washington Jr. * 29 2-12 1-4 12-14 5 5 0 0 5 17 10 -
C. Douglas-Roberts * 24 4-7 0-2 3-4 5 1 0 2 2 11 10 -
S. Williams 34 8-16 0-4 5-6 14 2 0 4 5 21 20 -
A. Anderson 25 3-6 1-3 2-2 2 4 2 0 1 9 10 -
A. Allen 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 0 1 -
R. Dozier 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
K. Cooper 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter