Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.6% | 77.4% | +6.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions +20 (74-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Heber * | 33 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| B. Dillon * | 33 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| M. Green * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -2 | - |
| C. Lutz * | 22 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| G. Ware * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Hartley | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. White | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| K. Spates | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -4 | - |
| M. Carroll | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| B. Riddell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Claxton * | 37 | 9-16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| J. Cornley * | 37 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| B. Luber * | 31 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| T. Parker * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| D. Jackson * | 24 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | - |
| M. Walker | 25 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| M. Bogetic | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Suotamo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Obradovic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Leiner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Hassell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. McSweeney | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter