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2006-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 28.1% 71.9% -
Bradley-Terry 16.0% 84.0% -
Margin 7.8% 92.2% +13.6 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% -
Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.6% 38.4% -
Log Adjusted 61.7% 38.3% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +4 (80-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ruffin 36 8-15 3-8 3-3 4 7 0 0 6 22 12 -
M. Sommerville 33 3-13 1-6 1-1 12 1 0 2 5 8 5 -
T. Bennett 25 2-9 0-3 1-2 1 2 0 1 2 5 -2 -
W. Franklin 25 7-11 4-7 0-1 6 2 1 0 1 18 15 -
L. Wright 22 2-7 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 2 0 4 8 -
P. O'Bryant 21 0-2 0-0 4-4 8 1 0 2 1 4 12 -
Z. Andrews 17 4-6 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 2 8 3 -
J.J. Tauai 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
D. Adams 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
B. Heemskerk 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dotzler 35 2-6 0-1 5-8 1 4 2 1 2 9 9 -
J. Mathies 34 4-14 2-4 6-6 5 4 4 0 3 16 12 -
D. Watts 27 4-8 2-3 3-4 7 2 1 1 1 13 15 -
N. Porter 27 4-10 0-1 5-6 7 2 2 2 0 13 16 -
A. Tolliver 20 5-10 0-0 9-14 8 1 0 2 1 19 19 -
J. Day 18 2-3 0-0 0-2 3 2 0 0 1 4 5 -
P. Hibma 17 1-3 0-0 2-4 1 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
D. Bishop 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Motz 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Gakou 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter