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2006-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 61.4% 38.6% -
Bradley-Terry 68.4% 31.6% -
Margin 75.3% 24.7% -6.1 (39.1 off)
Pythagorean 18.0% 82.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.7% 91.3% -
Log Adjusted 8.6% 91.4% -

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +33 (81-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Diene 30 2-6 0-0 1-4 10 0 0 2 1 5 10 -
A. Bruce 30 3-10 3-7 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 9 0 -
C. Jerrells 26 2-11 0-6 3-4 3 3 0 0 1 7 1 -
H. Dugat 26 4-9 2-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 10 5 -
T. Bush 21 1-5 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
K. Rogers 18 2-8 0-0 4-4 7 0 0 0 2 8 5 -
P. Fields 18 0-4 0-3 1-2 0 0 2 0 0 1 -1 -
T. Swanson 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
M. Shepherd 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 3 -
R. Hurd 4 0-3 0-2 0-3 3 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Shipman 4 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Copeland 29 5-8 4-5 3-4 8 0 0 2 1 17 18 -
R. Roby 29 8-17 2-5 3-4 7 3 1 2 2 21 15 -
D. Coleman 25 2-6 0-1 1-2 5 7 1 1 0 5 13 -
M. King-Stockton 19 3-4 0-0 2-5 11 1 1 1 3 8 15 -
A. Osborn 18 4-8 4-7 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 12 7 -
M. Hall 18 3-9 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 7 0 -
J. Ashby 17 0-3 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 2 3 0 6 -
M. Freeman 17 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 2 1 -
A. McGee 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Obazuaye 7 2-3 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
G. Eddy 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
L. Arrington 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 2 3 -
B. Boidock 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Perkowski 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Senger 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter