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2006-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Ohio Bobcats Northern Illinois Huskies Spread Result
Elo 39.4% 60.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 50.7% 49.3% - โœ—
Margin 42.0% 58.0% +1.8 โœ“ (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 54.2% 45.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 54.4% 45.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“

Actual: Northern Illinois Huskies +5 (64-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Green 35 6-13 4-7 9-10 3 0 2 1 2 25 16 -
J. Fears 33 3-7 1-3 1-2 4 2 0 1 3 8 5 -
L. Williams 32 0-8 0-0 3-6 9 1 0 0 1 3 4 -
W. Davis 32 3-5 0-2 6-9 6 2 1 0 3 12 13 -
S. Troutman 21 0-3 0-0 3-4 1 2 1 0 1 3 3 -
J. Halbert 20 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 3 3 -
J. Jackson 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Tillman 9 2-5 0-2 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
A. Chatman 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Illinois Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Peterson 31 3-9 2-8 4-5 6 2 1 0 1 12 11 -
B. Rand 29 6-8 1-1 6-6 8 1 1 1 1 19 21 -
A. Maestranzi 25 0-7 0-5 4-4 3 1 2 0 1 4 2 -
M. McKinney 25 1-6 0-1 3-6 0 2 0 1 3 5 -1 -
J. Hughes 21 2-6 0-0 3-4 6 0 1 1 1 7 8 -
C. Sims 20 1-6 0-0 4-6 6 2 2 0 1 6 9 -
C. Reichel 18 1-4 0-1 2-2 8 1 0 0 0 4 9 -
R. Paradise 15 1-3 1-1 0-1 1 0 1 0 2 3 0 -
Z. Pancratz 14 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
B. McKenzie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter