Model Predictions
| Model | Longwood Lancers | Navy Midshipmen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.3% | 73.7% | +5.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Navy Midshipmen +6 (71-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sumter | 38 | 9-23 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 8 | - |
| B. Giles | 36 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Morgan | 29 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 8-11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| L. Barrett | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Smith | 25 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 9 | - |
| K. Williams | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| H. Pistoljevic | 16 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| C. Kosmo | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Sprink | 38 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Carnegie Johnson | 35 | 8-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| L. Green | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| D. Hooper | 20 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Baldwin | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| K. Kina | 20 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 4 | - |
| B. Biles | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Reed | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. Brigham | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter