Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +2 (62-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown * | 37 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| B. Randle * | 35 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| R. McBride * | 33 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 24 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| W. Carter | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Frazier | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Smith | 10 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| M. Arnold | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Strickland * | 38 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| R. Vaden * | 35 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Killingsworth * | 34 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 20 | - |
| L. Monroe * | 30 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| B. Allen * | 9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| R. Wilmont | 27 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| A.J. Ratliff | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Calloway | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Kline | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter