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2006-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Georgia Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 43.3% 56.7% -
Bradley-Terry 68.6% 31.4% -
Margin 71.3% 28.7% -5.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 66.8% 33.2% -
Efficiency 81.2% 18.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.1% 19.9% -
Log Adjusted 80.1% 19.9% -

Actual: Georgia Bulldogs -14 (55-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Morris * 33 7-10 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 2 3 14 8 -
R. Rondo * 32 6-9 0-2 0-1 4 7 2 0 2 12 14 -
P. Sparks * 31 4-6 2-3 2-4 5 6 0 0 4 12 13 -
S. Thomas * 29 1-3 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 1 4 7 -
J. Crawford * 22 2-5 0-2 0-1 4 1 1 0 0 4 5 -
R. Moss 18 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 6 5 -
R. Bradley 15 5-10 1-4 2-3 4 2 1 0 1 13 9 -
B. Perry 10 1-3 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 4 0 -
L. Obrzut 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Adetula 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Stockton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Carter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
P. LeMaster 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gaines * 28 4-8 1-3 4-6 1 4 0 0 1 13 9 -
C. Toney * 27 2-9 0-4 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 5 0 -
L. Stukes * 26 2-7 1-5 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 7 3 -
D. Bliss * 11 0-1 0-0 0-1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
T. Woodbury * 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 -1 -
Y. Idrissi 25 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 2 2 0 0 -
B. Humphrey 22 4-7 3-5 2-2 2 0 3 0 0 13 11 -
M. Mercer 18 6-12 2-5 1-1 3 1 2 0 1 15 8 -
S. Newman 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
R. Singleton 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
K. Brophy 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Aguilar 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
S. Greavu 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. McAuley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
P.J. Bullock 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter