Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +8 (65-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Holsinger | 36 | 3-15 | 2-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| K. Anslinger | 34 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| S. Ely | 29 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| B. Strickland | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. Stalbergs | 20 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Petty | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Phifer | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Blakey | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| L. Booker | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Wargel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ford | 29 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Ford | 28 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| M. Vandello | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 26 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 9-13 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| N. Plank | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3 | - |
| B. Holtz | 14 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| L. Dyer | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Fortes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter