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2006-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Evansville Purple Aces Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% -
Bradley-Terry 32.4% 67.6% -
Margin 20.6% 79.4% +7.4 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.6% 50.4% -
Log Adjusted 49.2% 50.8% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +8 (65-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Holsinger 36 3-15 2-11 2-2 3 4 1 0 2 10 1 -
K. Anslinger 34 4-12 2-6 2-2 6 0 0 0 3 12 3 -
S. Ely 29 5-11 0-2 4-4 7 0 1 0 2 14 9 -
B. Strickland 27 2-4 0-0 2-6 6 0 1 1 2 6 8 -
A. Stalbergs 20 3-7 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 7 3 -
J. Petty 19 2-5 1-3 1-2 2 0 0 2 0 6 5 -
C. Phifer 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
M. Blakey 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 0 -3 -
L. Booker 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Wargel 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ford 29 3-6 0-1 0-0 5 1 3 0 1 6 8 -
K. Ford 28 4-5 0-1 3-6 7 2 1 0 2 11 14 -
G. Dilligard 27 5-11 0-0 0-3 10 2 0 2 0 10 13 -
M. Vandello 26 1-4 0-0 8-10 5 0 3 0 4 10 10 -
N. Onyeuku 26 2-7 1-2 9-13 7 0 0 0 0 14 14 -
N. Plank 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 4 -3 -
B. Holtz 14 1-5 1-4 1-3 2 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
D. Odiakosa 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
L. Dyer 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
R. Carlwell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Fortes 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter