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2006-01-16

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 51.1% 48.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 45.8% 54.2% - โœ“
Margin 56.3% 43.7% -1.4 โœ— (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 71.6% 28.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 53.4% 46.6% - โœ—

Actual: UConn Huskies +3 (51-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Fowles 0 5-7 0-0 2-5 15 0 0 0 0 12 20 -
A. Thomas 0 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
R. LeBlanc 0 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Hoston 0 4-9 1-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 11 4 -
S. Augustus 0 6-19 2-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 15 -1 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Strother 0 1-10 1-7 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 -2 -
B. Turner 0 4-9 1-3 2-2 8 0 0 0 0 8 7 -
R. Montgomery 0 2-7 1-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 0 -
M. Thomas 0 3-8 3-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 9 4 -

* = starter