๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2006-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 55.9% 44.1% -3.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 60.2% 39.8% - โœ“
Margin 58.4% 41.6% -1.9 โœ“ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 71.9% 28.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 72.2% 27.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.3% 45.7% - โœ“

Actual: Louisville Cardinals -4 (57-61). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carl Krauser * 31 3-10 2-5 0-2 3 4 0 0 1 8 4 -
R. Ramon * 26 2-6 2-5 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 8 4 -
Aaron Gray * 24 3-6 0-0 4-9 12 3 2 1 1 10 21 -
L. Kendall * 23 1-3 0-1 3-3 6 2 2 1 1 5 12 -
J. DeGroat * 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Levance Fields 29 5-8 3-6 0-0 0 1 2 0 3 13 5 -
Sam Young 21 3-6 0-0 3-4 6 2 0 0 3 9 8 -
K. Benjamin 16 2-6 0-0 1-2 3 3 1 0 0 5 6 -
Antonio Graves 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
T. Biggs 11 0-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Padgett * 36 4-11 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 2 4 9 3 -
J. Palacios * 35 3-13 2-5 0-1 7 2 0 0 5 8 -1 -
Terrence Williams * 32 9-14 3-5 4-8 5 0 4 0 2 25 18 -
T. Laudermill * 29 1-5 1-1 4-5 1 2 0 1 2 7 4 -
T. Dean * 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
Arinn McGee 30 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 4 2 0 2 3 9 -
C. Millard 7 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Gianiny 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
B. Harvey 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Farley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
C. Current 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter