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Austin Peay Governors 63
@
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 56
2006-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Austin Peay Governors Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Spread Result
Elo 73.6% 26.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 78.8% 21.2% - ✓
Margin 71.9% 28.1% -5.2 ✓ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 68.1% 31.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 82.2% 17.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 82.3% 17.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 61.5% 38.5% - ✓

Actual: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks -7 (56-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hampton 31 2-8 0-2 9-10 1 3 2 1 1 13 11 -
Z. Schlader 30 5-6 0-0 4-7 4 2 0 0 4 14 10 -
D. Reed 28 4-10 0-2 0-0 3 2 2 2 3 8 4 -
D. Wright 26 0-2 0-0 7-8 3 4 2 0 2 7 12 -
L. Shipley 21 3-8 3-6 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 11 5 -
K. Duncan 20 2-5 0-0 1-2 5 2 2 0 0 5 9 -
F. Lockett 14 1-2 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
T. Babington 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
T. Janusauskas 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
J.P. Felder 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Booker 36 9-22 5-11 10-12 4 1 0 0 3 33 13 -
T. Willoughby 29 0-7 0-3 0-1 5 1 0 0 4 0 -5 -
W. Francis 29 1-4 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 3 0 2 14 -
P. Paradoski 29 2-7 0-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 3 4 0 -
E. Burtin 27 2-6 1-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 5 4 -
A. Thornton 25 3-6 0-0 2-5 4 0 0 1 4 8 3 -
E. Jones 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -
K. Guerrier 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 4 4 -

* = starter