Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Lamar Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lamar Cardinals +4 (93-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Howell | 38 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Brycen Long | 27 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| B. Dawkins | 26 | 3-12 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| L. Posey | 24 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| S. Thomas | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Griffin | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| K. Henderson | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| R. Epps | 14 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Vereen | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Guidry | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Lamar Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Barrow | 40 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 17 | - |
| A. Daniels | 40 | 14-22 | 5-9 | 4-10 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 29 | - |
| B. Chappell | 34 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| N. Beard | 30 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J. Goodwin | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Nwevo | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| J. Grant | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| B. Whittle | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
* = starter