Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.5% | 48.5% | -0.3 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -15 (52-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. McKowen | 37 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Little | 36 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| B. Jacobson | 36 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | - |
| G. Stout | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| E. Coleman | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 22 | - |
| T. Brown | 19 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| J. Josten | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Santos | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Howard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Griffin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Dilligard | 29 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Ford | 26 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Ford | 23 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| N. Plank | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Vandello | 21 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 21 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| B. Holtz | 19 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| R. Fortes | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| L. Dyer | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Kruse | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| E. Vianney | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter