Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.7% | 64.3% | +3.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +9 (79-70). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Baker | 37 | 3-15 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| B. Hutt | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| C. Cofield | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| T. Mokris | 23 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| A. Payton | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| N. Mann | 19 | 6-7 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| H. Smith | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Laimis Kisielius | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Darnell | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Alex Smith | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Becken | 39 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| H. Favors | 37 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 6-9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| M. Manier | 30 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| J. Billingslea | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. Chase | 23 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| B. Cartwright | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| D. Dickerson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| L. Perique | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
* = starter