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2006-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 25.8% 74.2% -
Bradley-Terry 32.2% 67.8% -
Margin 23.8% 76.2% +6.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 66.9% 33.1% -
Efficiency 60.4% 39.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.0% 9.0% -
Log Adjusted 91.1% 8.9% -

Actual: Drake Bulldogs -1 (46-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Tatum 38 4-14 1-7 1-1 5 5 2 0 4 10 4 -
R. Falker 34 5-5 0-0 1-3 3 2 0 2 0 11 13 -
T. Young 33 8-15 1-7 0-0 2 2 3 0 4 17 5 -
M. Shaw 31 1-4 0-1 0-0 7 2 0 1 1 2 7 -
B. Mullins 28 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 6 0 7 2 0 -
W. Clemmons 18 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 5 2 -
J. Foster 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Boyle 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
A. Brooks 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Stewart 34 3-7 0-0 3-3 4 0 1 0 4 9 3 -
C. Brooks 28 1-1 0-0 4-4 0 0 1 0 1 6 5 -
A. Calvin 28 2-9 0-0 5-5 8 0 0 0 4 9 4 -
B. Heemskerk 25 1-3 0-1 0-0 8 0 1 0 0 2 8 -
N. Grant 22 2-7 0-2 4-4 3 1 0 0 4 8 1 -
J. Cox 15 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
S. Tracy 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 0 -
N. Works 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 2 7 -
C. Bryant 10 0-4 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -5 -
L. Houston 6 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 2 3 2 -
J. Baryenbruch 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
A. Emmenecker 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter