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2006-01-14

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 33.7% 66.3% -
Bradley-Terry 46.1% 53.9% -
Margin 35.9% 64.1% +3.2 (14.2 off)
Efficiency 14.1% 85.9% -

Actual: Colgate Raiders -11 (63-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Ingram 35 4-11 1-3 6-7 4 2 2 1 0 15 13 -
A. Eitutavicius 33 6-11 3-6 5-6 1 1 3 0 2 20 12 -
D. Mercer 30 0-0 0-0 5-6 2 2 1 0 1 5 9 -
B. Harris 23 3-4 0-0 6-8 6 0 0 0 1 12 13 -
J. Nichols 17 0-5 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
L. Lekavicius 17 0-1 0-1 0-2 2 2 2 0 1 0 4 -
T. Lay 16 3-5 0-0 1-3 4 0 3 0 5 7 4 -
B. Gilmore 13 3-4 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
B. Billbe 11 0-2 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 1 2 4 2 -
G. Carr 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
C. Weinstein 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Simon 26 0-6 0-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 0 -1 -
K. Chones 24 4-14 0-1 6-6 10 2 1 0 1 14 12 -
M. Daniels 24 1-2 0-0 1-3 1 2 1 1 0 3 6 -
A. Reed 24 3-12 1-6 3-4 3 5 3 0 4 10 5 -
K. Roemer 22 6-8 4-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 16 7 -
T. Checovich 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 0 6 -
D. Gentile 19 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
J. Foss 17 3-6 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 8 2 -
N. Beresford 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
K. Chones 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
P. Minchella 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter