Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Colgate Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.5% | 51.5% | -0.9 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.9 | ✗ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colgate Raiders -8 (66-74). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ingram | 35 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Arvydas Eitutavicius | 33 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| D. Mercer | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| B. Harris | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| J. Nichols | 17 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| L. Lekavicius | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Lay | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | - |
| B. Gilmore | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Billbe | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| G. Carr | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Weinstein | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Simon | 26 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Chones | 24 | 4-14 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Marc Daniels | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Reed | 24 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Roemer | 22 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| T. Checovich | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| D. Gentile | 19 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Foss | 17 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| N. Beresford | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Chones | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| P. Minchella | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter