Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.4% | 78.6% | +7.2 | ✗ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Cougars -10 (56-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. O'Donnell | 40 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Rose | 33 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 15 | - |
| A. Williams | 32 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 26 | - |
| T. Lindbeck | 31 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Peppers | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Payne | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Johnson | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Gill | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Taylor | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Noel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Smith | 36 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| R. Dyer | 33 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| B. Latham | 32 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| O. Lafayette | 30 | 2-13 | 0-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Roberson | 16 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| E. Adeife | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| S. de Randamie | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Thorpe | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Anderson | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Martin | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Bloom | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Brannon | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter