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2006-01-14

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 34.2% 65.8% -
Bradley-Terry 23.1% 76.9% -
Margin 16.8% 83.2% +8.8 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 21.0% 79.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +20 (73-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Roberts * 28 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 6 9 -
D. Pearson * 27 1-11 0-3 1-2 4 1 0 1 2 3 -4 -
D. Willingham * 24 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 3 3 -
B. Fall * 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 2 6 5 -
R. Hopkins * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
B. Hopkins 34 7-12 5-8 0-0 4 4 2 0 3 19 14 -
B. Morris 20 3-9 0-0 2-4 7 1 0 0 1 8 6 -
J. Killen 18 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 2 1 0 0 0 3 -
B. Epps 13 2-8 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 1 -
I. Ofoegbu 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
D. Rackauskas 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -2 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Douglas-Roberts * 27 4-7 0-1 1-2 7 2 1 2 0 9 14 -
S. Williams * 27 2-7 2-3 1-2 4 0 0 1 2 7 3 -
R. Carney * 24 6-9 1-3 2-4 1 3 3 0 3 15 10 -
J. Dorsey * 22 5-7 0-0 3-7 8 1 2 2 1 13 18 -
D. Washington Jr. * 22 5-10 3-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 13 6 -
A. Anderson 24 2-5 1-3 2-2 2 2 1 2 0 7 9 -
R. Dozier 21 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 2 0 -
A. Allen 21 3-5 1-2 0-0 0 6 0 0 0 7 8 -
K. Cooper 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter