Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Hurricanes | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.5% | 81.5% | +8.2 | ✗ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -11 (70-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Hurricanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Diaz * | 37 | 7-17 | 4-7 | 6-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 7 | - |
| R. Hite * | 34 | 5-16 | 2-5 | 12-16 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - |
| A. Harris * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| A. King * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Graham * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Hamilton | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | - |
| R. Hicks | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Clemente | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| B. Asbury | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Thomas | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Noel * | 37 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Hansbrough * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 13-14 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 24 | - |
| B. Frasor * | 31 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Terry * | 24 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| M. Ginyard * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| W. Miller | 28 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Sanders | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Green | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Burke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Copeland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter