Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.3% | 47.7% | -0.5 | ✓ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.7% | 7.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats -16 (64-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Matthews | 37 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 11 | - |
| M. Dlouhy | 36 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| K. Criswell | 34 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Strait | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| B. Ellis | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | - |
| J. Hasquet | 16 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Sharp | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Chavez | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Martin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moss | 34 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 6-12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| C. Durham | 33 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| L. Ball | 32 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| J. Jefferson | 32 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -3 | - |
| A. Beye | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Edmonds | 19 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| T. Morris | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Wilson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Durr | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Pratt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter