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UMass Minutemen 48
@
Saint Louis Billikens 50
2006-01-14

Model Predictions

Model UMass Minutemen Saint Louis Billikens Spread Result
Elo 31.8% 68.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 34.7% 65.3% - ✓
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.5 ✓ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 52.2% 47.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 52.2% 47.8% - ✗
Points Off/Def 45.0% 55.0% - ✓

Actual: Saint Louis Billikens +2 (50-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Viggiano 34 4-7 2-5 5-7 5 1 0 0 2 15 12 -
C. Lowe 31 2-4 0-0 3-4 2 4 1 0 5 7 5 -
S. Lasme 29 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 7 3 3 11 -
J. Life 25 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 5 6 3 -
R. Freeman 24 2-8 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 2 4 2 -
B. Thomas 21 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -5 -
D. Milligan 19 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 4 2 -
L. Carrier 17 4-5 1-2 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 9 7 -

Saint Louis Billikens

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lisch 40 5-8 3-4 1-2 2 0 1 0 2 14 7 -
T. Liddell 32 3-8 0-1 1-2 6 3 0 0 4 7 4 -
I. Vouyoukas 32 5-11 0-1 8-9 7 1 1 3 6 18 13 -
Dion Brown 30 1-7 1-2 0-2 5 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
A. Drejaj 25 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
V. Newborne 15 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
D. Polk 14 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 1 0 -
J. Johnson 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
B. Husak 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
L. Meyer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter