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2006-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 58.1% 41.9% -
Bradley-Terry 23.7% 76.3% -
Margin 14.8% 85.2% +9.6 (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% -
Efficiency 49.6% 50.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.9% 48.1% -
Log Adjusted 52.0% 48.0% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -4 (64-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Steele * 40 5-11 2-4 2-3 2 3 2 0 4 14 6 -
J. Davidson * 39 10-14 0-0 8-12 8 0 2 1 1 28 24 -
B. Hollinger * 38 3-5 2-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 10 9 -
R. Hendrix * 21 2-3 0-0 3-4 2 1 1 1 2 7 7 -
E. Brock * 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Felix 24 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
A. Gee 18 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -1 -
J. Jonus 3 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Morris * 32 7-12 0-0 5-5 6 0 1 2 3 19 13 -
R. Rondo * 27 3-6 1-3 0-1 4 3 1 0 2 7 7 -
S. Thomas * 23 0-3 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 0 2 -
P. Sparks * 20 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -2 -
L. Obrzut * 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
R. Bradley 30 5-12 2-7 2-2 3 4 0 1 2 14 8 -
J. Crawford 29 3-8 1-3 4-4 3 3 0 0 1 11 8 -
R. Moss 25 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 6 5 -
M. Adetula 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -1 -

* = starter