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2006-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Providence Friars Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 48.4% 51.6% -
Bradley-Terry 21.0% 79.0% -
Margin 10.3% 89.7% +11.9 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 30.1% 69.9% -
Efficiency 7.7% 92.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.0% 78.0% -
Log Adjusted 22.0% 78.0% -

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +15 (92-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McGrath * 36 3-12 1-7 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 7 -1 -
G. McDermott * 34 4-8 0-1 1-4 4 2 0 2 1 9 8 -
S. Curry * 33 8-15 3-7 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 19 4 -
R. Hanke * 16 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 1 4 5 -
W. Efejuku 32 6-10 2-2 4-6 3 2 1 0 0 18 14 -
J. Kale 23 4-5 0-0 4-6 10 2 1 0 0 12 20 -
H. Hill 17 3-6 0-0 2-3 4 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
C. Burch 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Falls * 38 8-12 5-9 3-3 4 0 0 1 0 24 17 -
C. Quinn * 38 11-14 5-7 4-4 5 5 1 0 0 31 28 -
L. Zeller * 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Ayers * 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
R. Carter * 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 -
K. McAlarney 30 4-6 3-3 1-1 2 4 0 0 1 12 11 -
R. Kurz 24 3-5 0-1 3-4 2 1 0 1 1 9 7 -
T. Francis 24 1-6 0-0 9-12 8 2 1 1 1 11 16 -
R. Cornett 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 4 6 -
Z. Hillesland 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Murphy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Piller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter