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2006-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 35.4% 64.6% -
Bradley-Terry 27.9% 72.1% -
Margin 16.7% 83.3% +8.8 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 11.6% 88.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Florida Gators +12 (69-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Robertson * 40 2-11 1-2 0-0 10 5 0 0 2 5 7 -
F. Tolbert * 35 8-14 4-5 1-2 5 1 4 1 8 21 10 -
R. LeMelle * 28 1-6 1-4 0-0 0 0 2 0 3 3 -4 -
K. Barber * 26 3-4 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 1 2 6 5 -
J. Cameron * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
J. Dollard 27 6-11 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 2 1 12 9 -
R. Barrett 24 3-6 2-2 2-2 5 4 0 0 4 10 9 -
D. Hayles 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Jackson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
E. Willis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Woodard 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Edun 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Humphrey * 38 3-11 3-10 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 9 0 -
T. Green * 37 3-10 3-8 12-12 4 5 2 1 3 21 20 -
A. Horford * 32 6-7 0-0 2-6 7 1 2 3 1 14 19 -
C. Brewer * 24 3-5 1-2 1-2 2 1 1 2 2 8 7 -
J. Noah * 21 3-8 0-0 4-5 8 2 0 4 2 10 14 -
C. Richard 21 3-6 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 7 6 -
W. Hodge 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 3 0 2 0 0 -
A. Moss 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
D. Huertas 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter