Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.1% | 65.9% | +3.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +16 (83-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Terry | 31 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Petrimoulx | 30 | 6-16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 2 | - |
| W. Adams | 28 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| L. Amundson | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| D. Villepigue | 22 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| W. White | 19 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| R. Morgan | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| G. Essengue | 13 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Darger | 11 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Umeh | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Slaughter | 37 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 33 | - |
| N. LeSure | 35 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 9-13 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| R. Williams | 28 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| M. Abukar | 28 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K. Spain | 27 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| J. Sharper | 24 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| M. Camara | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Hudson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter