Model Predictions
| Model | Wright State Raiders | Youngstown State Penguins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Youngstown State Penguins -4 (60-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dashaun Wood | 39 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Drew Burleson | 38 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Jaron Taylor | 31 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Pleiman | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Tyrone Scott | 24 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Will Graham | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Walter Chancellor | 13 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Scottie Wilson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Everett Spencer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quin Humphrey | 40 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 5-9 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Keston Roberts | 38 | 9-18 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 15 | - |
| D. Harris | 37 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1 | - |
| John Barber | 31 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jack Liles | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Domonique Crawford | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Colin LaForme | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dwight Holmes | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter