Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | William & Mary Tribe | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: William & Mary Tribe -19 (46-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Thomas | 35 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Tony Skinn | 32 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Lamar Butler | 28 | 3-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Gabe Norwood | 24 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jai Lewis | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Folarin Campbell | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Tim Burns | 15 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Sammy Hernandez | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Chris Fleming | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Carter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Charles Makings | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Baker | 34 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | - |
| A. Payton | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Taylor Mokris | 20 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Corey Cofield | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| B. Hutt | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Chris Darnell | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Hawley Smith | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Laimis Kisielius | 12 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Peter Stein | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alex Smith | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Adam Trumbower | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nathan Mann | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Nate Loehrke | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter