Model Predictions
| Model | Lamar Cardinals | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -5 (65-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Lamar Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Fairley | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Alan Daniels | 35 | 8-20 | 4-10 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 12 | - |
| B. Chappell | 34 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Matthew Barrow | 27 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Josh Goodwin | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jason Grant | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Blake Whittle | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Brandon McThay | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antuane Miller | 34 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 7 | - |
| Gerald Fonzie | 34 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Paez | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jerel Hastings | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Keith Hardaway | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Josh Alexander | 17 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Chaz Dykes | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Todd Henry | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Matt Kingsley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Scott Weaver | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter