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Long Island University Sharks 73
@
Saint Francis Red Wolves 70
2006-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Long Island University Sharks Saint Francis Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 36.7% 63.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 60.0% 40.0% - ✓
Margin 36.1% 63.9% - ✗
Pythagorean 75.1% 24.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 42.7% 57.3% - ✗
Points Off/Def 34.0% 66.0% - ✗

Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves -3 (70-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Long Island University Sharks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Esa Maki-Tulokas 45 6-14 1-6 2-2 8 2 0 1 0 15 12 -
Paulius Morkeliunas 39 2-8 0-0 9-14 12 3 2 0 1 13 21 -
James Williams 38 8-16 3-6 2-2 6 1 1 0 2 21 11 -
E. Meekins 29 4-5 2-2 2-2 7 0 0 0 1 12 13 -
A. Scott 28 1-3 0-0 3-4 6 1 2 1 2 5 10 -
Randy Jones 26 2-8 0-2 1-2 2 2 1 0 5 5 -3 -
Tyrone Mattison 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
Eugene Kotorobai 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Naim Benjamin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Donovin McLendon 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Saint Francis Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jelani Lawrence 40 8-11 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 3 0 16 14 -
Marquis Ford 38 2-11 0-6 6-8 5 6 1 0 6 10 5 -
Rahsaan Benton 33 3-12 2-8 4-4 6 0 0 0 3 12 3 -
Grant Surprenant 33 4-10 3-7 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 11 0 -
Garrett Farha 24 4-6 1-2 2-2 1 4 2 0 1 11 11 -
Steve Profeta 22 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 1 2 4 5 -
Winston Robinson 18 1-5 0-0 2-3 8 0 1 0 0 4 8 -
T.J. Lundy 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -

* = starter