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Model Predictions

Model McNeese Cowboys Sam Houston Bearkats Spread Result
Elo 28.1% 71.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 33.9% 66.1% - โœ—
Margin 42.4% 57.6% - โœ—
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 47.4% 52.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 47.6% 52.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.9% 55.1% - โœ—

Actual: Sam Houston Bearkats -3 (57-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

McNeese Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Arthur-Williams 35 4-10 2-4 0-0 1 5 7 0 2 10 11 -
John Ford 28 3-5 1-2 4-4 4 4 1 0 5 11 10 -
Jarvis Bradley 27 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
J.T. Williams 27 6-11 2-3 0-1 6 4 0 2 2 14 13 -
Quentin Gonzales 23 2-6 0-1 0-1 6 1 1 0 0 4 6 -
Aldrynn Wardell 22 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 5 2 -
R. Price 19 1-4 0-1 5-7 1 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
Troy Aaron 12 3-6 0-1 0-1 2 3 0 0 1 6 4 -
Eric Massey 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Darris Manciel 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Sam Houston Bearkats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Bright 35 4-10 1-4 3-10 13 1 2 1 3 12 16 -
C. Jordan 34 4-12 2-4 5-6 6 2 1 0 4 15 8 -
Shamir McDaniel 33 2-7 2-6 1-2 4 1 0 1 2 7 4 -
Jejuan Plair 28 1-3 0-1 2-3 4 6 2 0 5 4 8 -
John Gardiner 23 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 8 5 -
Reggie Rawlins 17 4-8 1-3 2-2 4 0 1 1 3 11 6 -
Kelvin Williams 11 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
Jeremy Thomas 10 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Wood 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
R. Griffin 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter