Model Predictions
| Model | St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers | Robert Morris Colonials | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Robert Morris Colonials +2 (73-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Brown | 33 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Jamaal Womack | 30 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| James St. Robert | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Nick Jones | 23 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Ruandy Melo | 23 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Tristan Smith | 18 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Allan Sheppard | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| S. Dantzler | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Sami Pekkola | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Gooden | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Robert Morris Colonials
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Jackson | 40 | 9-18 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Jeremy Chappell | 40 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Derek Coleman | 38 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Tony Lee | 33 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Cori Boston | 33 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Steve Lancaster | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Colson Senat | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jonathan Clark | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter