Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | LSU New Orleans Privateers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: LSU New Orleans Privateers +4 (79-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Dixon | 36 | 6-13 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| J. Huffman | 34 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Sammy Sharp | 29 | 10-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Cedric Jackson | 27 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Boo Ramsey | 22 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| A. Brandon | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Daryl Davis | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Martin | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Josh Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
LSU New Orleans Privateers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie McNeilly | 33 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Wayne Williams | 32 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 15 | - |
| James Parlow | 31 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Jacob Manning | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| N. Parker | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Earnest Daney | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Dusty Driggs | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jeremie Davis | 11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
* = starter