Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +26 (70-44). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Ledbetter | 35 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tanoris Shepard | 31 | 6-17 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Keoni Watson | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Mike Kale | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Desmond Nwoke | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Nebojsa Jakovljevic | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Igor Vrzina | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Smith | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| David Dubois | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Jason Bowden-Key | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Matt Forge | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramon Sessions | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Nick Fazekas | 27 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Mo Charlo | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Marcelus Kemp | 20 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Chad Bell | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Shiloh | 19 | 7-8 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Denis Ikovlev | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Demarshay Johnson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Lyndale Burleson | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| David Ellis | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Seth Taylor | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Curry Lynch | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter