Model Predictions
| Model | UT Martin Skyhawks | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Illinois Panthers +10 (80-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Kelly | 39 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jared Newson | 37 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Bubba Tolliver | 29 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| C. Woodfork | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| McKale Jones | 24 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Justin Flatt | 23 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Will Lewis | 22 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Zerek Knight | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jason Thompson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Ferrell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Vashon Ingram | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Gomes | 42 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 8-9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Mike Robinson | 40 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Bobby Catchings | 31 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Jake Byrne | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Billy Parrish | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jake Sinclair | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| George Tandy | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Wes Wilkin | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tom Burke | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter